Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.000117 0.000124 0.000132 0.000140 0.000150 0.000160 0.000172
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.000105 0.000115 0.000126 0.000139 0.000155 0.000173 0.000195
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.000098 0.000109 0.000123 0.000140 0.000161 0.000186 0.000221
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.000093 0.000106 0.000122 0.000142 0.000168 0.000202 0.000251
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.000087 0.000101 0.000117 0.000139 0.000168 0.000207 0.000267
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.000081 0.000095 0.000111 0.000134 0.000165 0.000207 0.000275
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.000077 0.000090 0.000107 0.000130 0.000162 0.000209 0.000285
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.000072 0.000085 0.000101 0.000124 0.000156 0.000204 0.000284
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.000070 0.000083 0.000100 0.000125 0.000160 0.000214 0.000309
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.000069 0.000083 0.000101 0.000127 0.000166 0.000228 0.000343
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.000068 0.000082 0.000101 0.000129 0.000172 0.000241 0.000379
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.000067 0.000083 0.000103 0.000133 0.000182 0.000264 0.000439
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.000065 0.000080 0.000101 0.000132 0.000183 0.000272 0.000473
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.000063 0.000078 0.000098 0.000130 0.000183 0.000279 0.000505
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.000061 0.000076 0.000097 0.000131 0.000187 0.000293 0.000562
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.000060 0.000076 0.000098 0.000133 0.000194 0.000315 0.000650
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.000058 0.000073 0.000095 0.000130 0.000192 0.000317 0.000680
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.000056 0.000070 0.000091 0.000125 0.000186 0.000310 0.000681
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.000054 0.000068 0.000088 0.000122 0.000183 0.000308 0.000696
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 0.000051 0.000065 0.000084 0.000116 0.000175 0.000295 0.000669
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 0.000050 0.000064 0.000084 0.000117 0.000178 0.000309 0.000750
2025-05-04 00:00:00+00:00 0.000050 0.000064 0.000084 0.000119 0.000185 0.000332 0.000880
2025-05-11 00:00:00+00:00 0.000049 0.000064 0.000085 0.000121 0.000191 0.000354 0.001029